Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FORTH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 1.942238 2.032785 2.128850 2.239016 2.362716 2.498376 2.659909
2025-11-02 1.817438 1.930391 2.054401 2.202279 2.376114 2.577109 2.832105
2025-11-09 1.741188 1.869003 2.012874 2.189568 2.404907 2.665015 3.013920
2025-11-16 1.682415 1.820893 1.979884 2.179901 2.431200 2.746636 3.192230
2025-11-23 1.631879 1.778024 1.948553 2.167442 2.449739 2.816427 3.360143
2025-11-30 1.600561 1.755320 1.938807 2.179147 2.497613 2.926738 3.598766
2025-12-07 1.542539 1.697341 1.882392 2.127363 2.456687 2.909466 3.641063
2025-12-14 1.507687 1.665912 1.857017 2.113429 2.464624 2.960484 3.796745
2025-12-21 1.472523 1.632536 1.827422 2.091818 2.459636 2.990918 3.921733
2025-12-28 1.459868 1.626372 1.831644 2.114700 2.517792 3.120820 4.244567
2026-01-04 1.453095 1.627033 1.844226 2.148978 2.594210 3.287333 4.679184
2026-01-11 1.430827 1.607086 1.828923 2.143608 2.610944 3.357869 4.938587
2026-01-18 1.411465 1.590940 1.818869 2.146295 2.641993 3.459803 5.310618
2026-01-25 1.380062 1.558245 1.785543 2.114120 2.616421 3.458850 5.436209
2026-02-01 1.358568 1.537760 1.767800 2.103352 2.623608 3.517627 5.737958
2026-02-08 1.339258 1.519527 1.752381 2.095058 2.633875 3.582995 6.087968
2026-02-15 1.320036 1.500854 1.735689 2.084004 2.638639 3.638093 6.436758
2026-02-22 1.309699 1.493515 1.734092 2.094965 2.680241 3.771383 7.132435
2026-03-01 1.279677 1.459387 1.694635 2.047612 2.620350 3.689050 6.989434
2026-03-08 1.262763 1.442381 1.678481 2.034905 2.619096 3.730258 7.366905
2026-03-15 1.244165 1.422734 1.658149 2.015091 2.604398 3.741130 7.631550
2026-03-22 1.240017 1.422294 1.664519 2.036179 2.662233 3.918841 8.858644
2026-03-29 1.239354 1.426451 1.677360 2.067692 2.741034 4.160616 10.994555